Análisis Coritiba vs Avaí
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 jul. 2007 |
VIT
3 - 1
COT
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 jul. 2007 |
COT
2 - 1
PPE
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 jul. 2007 |
COT
4 - 1
GRÊ
73%
19%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 jul. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 0
COT
30%
27%
44%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 jul. 2007 |
CRI
3 - 1
COT
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 jul. 2007 |
AVA
0 - 0
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 jul. 2007 |
POR
3 - 1
AVA
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 jul. 2007 |
SAO
0 - 1
AVA
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 jul. 2007 |
AVA
2 - 0
PAU
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 jul. 2007 |
GAM
4 - 2
AVA
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |