Análisis Costa Calida vs Cuarto Distrito
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.29
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.8%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Costa Calida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 1
CCS
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2009 |
CCS
1 - 2
LOR
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2009 |
PIN
0 - 0
CCS
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2009 |
CUA
0 - 1
CPE
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
CUA
33%
25%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 ago. 2009 |
CUA
4 - 1
ABA
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 jun. 2009 |
MOL
2 - 3
CUA
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2009 |
CUA
2 - 1
CEU
51%
23%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |