Análisis Vasco Núñez vs Guareña
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.89
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.4%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.5
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vasco Núñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 1986 |
SNV
1 - 1
CVP
74%
17%
9%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1986 |
PLA
3 - 0
CVP
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1986 |
CVP
1 - 0
ADP
62%
21%
17%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 1986 |
CDB
1 - 1
CVP
89%
8%
2%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 1986 |
CVP
1 - 3
UDF
48%
25%
27%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 1986 |
GUA
0 - 1
PLA
12%
24%
65%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1986 |
ADP
2 - 1
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1986 |
GUA
2 - 4
CDB
11%
23%
66%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | -1 |
| 21 sep. 1986 |
UDF
2 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1986 |
GUA
0 - 2
CDZ
31%
27%
42%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |