Análisis PUD Málaga vs Papiol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
33.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+115%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
PUD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 feb. 2016 |
SMO
2 - 1
CPM
65%
18%
18%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2016 |
CPM
3 - 1
ABR
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 ene. 2016 |
CER
3 - 3
CPM
59%
19%
21%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 ene. 2016 |
COR
4 - 4
CPM
43%
22%
35%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2016 |
CPM
2 - 3
LGU
43%
21%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Papiol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 feb. 2016 |
PAP
1 - 1
VIL
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2016 |
PAP
3 - 3
SMO
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2016 |
ABR
3 - 2
PAP
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 ene. 2016 |
CER
2 - 1
PAP
36%
22%
42%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 ene. 2016 |
PAP
2 - 1
COR
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |