Análisis CRAC vs Aparecidense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.64
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+24%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 2005 |
GIO
1 - 0
CRA
24%
23%
53%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2005 |
CRA
4 - 1
ANA
37%
25%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
MIN
2 - 1
CRA
48%
24%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
CRA
2 - 1
GOI
9%
17%
74%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | +2 |
| 03 mar. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 1
CRA
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
Partidos
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 2005 |
APA
1 - 1
GOI
11%
19%
70%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2005 |
GIO
1 - 0
APA
22%
22%
56%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
ANA
1 - 2
APA
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
APA
3 - 2
MIN
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 feb. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 2
APA
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |