Análisis CRAC vs Aparecidense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
30.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.25
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.56
Goles esperados
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+24%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 abr. 2008 |
VIL
3 - 1
CRA
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2008 |
CRA
0 - 0
CAN
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2008 |
CRA
2 - 0
ANA
28%
24%
47%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 mar. 2008 |
ATL
4 - 3
CRA
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2008 |
CRA
1 - 0
MIN
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 2006 |
APA
3 - 1
ATL
23%
23%
54%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2006 |
JAT
1 - 0
APA
37%
25%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 mar. 2006 |
APA
3 - 2
GIO
73%
16%
10%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 feb. 2006 |
APA
2 - 2
CRA
49%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2006 |
APA
1 - 1
MIN
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |