Análisis CRAC vs Aparecidense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
44.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 feb. 2020 |
CRA
2 - 1
IPO
40%
28%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 0
CRA
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRA
61%
24%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2020 |
APA
0 - 0
CRA
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2020 |
IPO
1 - 0
CRA
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 3
APA
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2020 |
APA
1 - 3
ANA
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 feb. 2020 |
APA
0 - 0
CRA
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2020 |
JAR
3 - 1
APA
34%
23%
43%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 ene. 2020 |
APA
1 - 0
GOI
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |