Análisis Criciúma vs Marcílio Dias
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.68
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.3%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 2008 |
CRI
1 - 0
AVA
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2008 |
GUA
3 - 2
CRI
19%
22%
59%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 feb. 2008 |
CRI
4 - 4
TUB
73%
16%
11%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 2
CRI
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 2008 |
BRU
2 - 5
CRI
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Partidos
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 2008 |
BRU
0 - 2
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 3
FFL
10%
18%
72%
|
46 | 81 | 35 | -1 |
| 17 feb. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 2008 |
JEC
0 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 feb. 2008 |
MAR
5 - 0
JUV
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |