Liga Irlanda del Norte Temporada Regular Jor. 17

Análisis Crusaders vs Ards FC

Crusaders Ards FC
71 ELO 56
18.7% Tilt 15.3%
1607º Ranking ELO general 2518º
10º Ranking ELO país 17º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
74.2%
Crusaders
16.1%
Empate
9.7%
Ards FC

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Crusaders
2.42
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.1%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Ards FC
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Crusaders
-11%
+2%
Ards FC

Progresión del ELO

Crusaders
Ards FC
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Crusaders
Crusaders
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 nov. 2016
COL
Coleraine
1 - 1
Crusaders
CRU
28%
24%
49%
71 66 5 0
12 nov. 2016
POR
Portadown
0 - 1
Crusaders
CRU
17%
22%
61%
71 53 18 0
08 nov. 2016
GLE
Glenavon
3 - 3
Crusaders
CRU
53%
23%
24%
71 72 1 0
05 nov. 2016
CRU
Crusaders
1 - 0
Coleraine
COL
64%
21%
16%
71 66 5 0
01 nov. 2016
CRU
Crusaders
0 - 3
Livingston
LIV
72%
17%
12%
72 59 13 -1

Partidos

Ards FC
Ards FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 nov. 2016
ARD
Ards FC
0 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
20%
23%
57%
57 72 15 0
05 nov. 2016
ARD
Ards FC
2 - 4
Ballymena United
BAL
35%
25%
40%
58 63 5 -1
29 oct. 2016
POR
Portadown
0 - 3
Ards FC
ARD
42%
24%
34%
57 54 3 +1
22 oct. 2016
ARD
Ards FC
3 - 3
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
41%
27%
33%
57 62 5 0
15 oct. 2016
CLI
Cliftonville
2 - 0
Ards FC
ARD
68%
19%
14%
57 69 12 0