Análisis Cruzeiro vs Univ. Concepción
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.55
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.4%
Empate
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 mar. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 0
CRZ
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2004 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SAN
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 feb. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 3
CRZ
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 feb. 2004 |
CRZ
3 - 1
CFC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2003 |
BAH
0 - 7
CRZ
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 mar. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 2
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 0
CSD
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 mar. 2004 |
COL
0 - 2
UCO
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 mar. 2004 |
CFC
1 - 0
UCO
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2004 |
UCO
5 - 0
COQ
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |