Análisis Crvena Zvezda vs Real Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.51
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.5%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 1978 |
SPO
0 - 1
CRV
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1978 |
CRV
4 - 1
BFC
40%
24%
36%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 sep. 1978 |
BFC
5 - 2
CRV
81%
12%
7%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 1977 |
MON
5 - 1
CRV
80%
12%
7%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 oct. 1977 |
CRV
0 - 3
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 oct. 1978 |
VCF
4 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 0
RAC
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1978 |
SPO
0 - 1
CRV
64%
18%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1978 |
SEV
1 - 1
SPO
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1978 |
SPO
3 - 0
RAY
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |