Análisis CD San Fernando vs AD Almería

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto

Probabilidad del hándicap

33.3%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.35
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%

24.7%

Empate

0-0

5.5%

1-1

11.5%

2-2

6%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.7%

42%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.55
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Progresión del ELO

Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

CD San Fernando

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
25 sep. 1977	SFE 3 - 0 VEL 91% 7% 2%	38	24	14	0
18 sep. 1977	UBE 2 - 0 SFE 20% 25% 56%	40	25	15	-2
14 sep. 1977	ALM 2 - 1 SFE 89% 8% 4%	40	52	12	0
11 sep. 1977	SFE 2 - 0 EST 58% 25% 17%	39	42	3	+1
04 sep. 1977	MEL 2 - 0 SFE 58% 21% 21%	40	37	3	-1

Partidos

AD Almería

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
25 sep. 1977	LIN 1 - 1 ALM 43% 30% 27%	54	48	6	0
17 sep. 1977	ALM 2 - 1 AGD 63% 21% 16%	53	55	2	+1
14 sep. 1977	ALM 2 - 1 SFE 89% 8% 4%	52	40	12	+1
11 sep. 1977	ONT 1 - 3 ALM 50% 30% 20%	51	48	3	+1
04 sep. 1977	ALM 2 - 0 VIN 79% 15% 7%	49	47	2	+2