Análisis CSA vs Fluminense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
30.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 1981 |
ATM
3 - 0
CSA
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1979 |
COM
1 - 0
CSA
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 nov. 1979 |
CSA
2 - 1
CRZ
19%
23%
59%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 nov. 1979 |
DBO
3 - 1
CSA
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 nov. 1979 |
CSA
1 - 0
ADL
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 1981 |
MIX
1 - 1
FLU
23%
30%
48%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 may. 1980 |
SAO
3 - 2
FLU
55%
25%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 may. 1980 |
FLU
0 - 2
ATM
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 may. 1980 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLU
58%
25%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 may. 1980 |
FLU
4 - 0
BOT
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |