Alagoano . Semifinal
Global 4-3
Análisis CSA vs Murici
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
62.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-23%
+26%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 2
CSA
28%
29%
43%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 1
CRB
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 abr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
CSA
28%
29%
43%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 abr. 2016 |
CSA
1 - 0
ASA
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 2
CSA
35%
28%
38%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 2
CSA
28%
29%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
ASA
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 abr. 2016 |
CRB
1 - 3
MUR
75%
17%
9%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +2 |
| 31 mar. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
COR
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MUR
49%
25%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |