Análisis CSA vs Sergipe
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
38.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 jul. 2009 |
CSA
1 - 1
CEN
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2009 |
CEN
0 - 0
CSA
63%
22%
14%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 jul. 2009 |
SER
0 - 0
CSA
68%
19%
12%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 jul. 2009 |
CSA
0 - 3
SAN
31%
26%
44%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 may. 2009 |
COT
3 - 0
CSA
75%
18%
7%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | -1 |
Partidos
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 jul. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
SER
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2009 |
SER
1 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 jul. 2009 |
SER
0 - 0
CSA
68%
19%
12%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 jul. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 0
SER
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 may. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
SER
51%
24%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |