Análisis Independiente del Valle vs Aucas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+25%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 3
IVT
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 2
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 ene. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 1
IVT
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2017 |
IVT
2 - 0
UCE
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 0
IVT
39%
26%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 0
DEL
36%
27%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2017 |
AUC
1 - 0
AME
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 nov. 2017 |
LOJ
3 - 1
AUC
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 nov. 2017 |
TEC
0 - 1
AUC
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 nov. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 1
OLM
62%
21%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |