Análisis Macará vs Aucas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
36.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.26
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.8%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 2006 |
OLM
2 - 2
MAC
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 0
DPT
39%
27%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 sep. 2006 |
NAC
4 - 2
MAC
73%
18%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 3
LIG
29%
28%
44%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 2006 |
EME
1 - 0
MAC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 2
AUC
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2006 |
AUC
1 - 0
BSC
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 sep. 2006 |
OLM
1 - 0
AUC
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2006 |
AUC
2 - 0
DPT
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 sep. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
AUC
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |