Análisis Macará vs Aucas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ago. 2018 |
UCE
0 - 1
MAC
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
CUE
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 1
MAC
29%
29%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 jul. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
IVT
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 jul. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ago. 2018 |
LDU
1 - 1
AUC
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 1
UCE
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 jul. 2018 |
IVT
0 - 1
AUC
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 3
CUE
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 jul. 2018 |
DEL
1 - 1
AUC
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |