Análisis Macará vs CD El Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
29%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
28.2%
Empate
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
42.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 ago. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 1
BSC
27%
29%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2004 |
AUC
0 - 0
MAC
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 jul. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 1
QUI
31%
28%
42%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 jun. 2004 |
OLM
2 - 0
MAC
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 jun. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 0
LDU
24%
27%
49%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 ago. 2004 |
NAC
5 - 2
OLM
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2004 |
LDU
3 - 2
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 jul. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 1
EME
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 jun. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 0
AUC
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 jun. 2004 |
ESP
0 - 2
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |