Análisis Macará vs CD El Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
18.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
57.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2006 |
CUE
2 - 1
MAC
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 4
ESP
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 2006 |
EME
6 - 0
MAC
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 2
AUC
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 mar. 2006 |
LDU
3 - 2
MAC
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 abr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 0
OLM
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2006 |
PAU
0 - 0
NAC
27%
23%
51%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2006 |
BSC
6 - 0
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 abr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 0
RIV
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 3
QUI
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |