Análisis Macará vs CD El Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
29.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.41
Goles esperados
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2008 |
UCE
0 - 1
MAC
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2008 |
OLM
0 - 1
MAC
51%
29%
20%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 0
OLM
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 2
UCE
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 0
MAC
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 1
OLM
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2008 |
EME
1 - 0
NAC
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
NAC
3 - 0
EME
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2008 |
OLM
0 - 2
NAC
33%
29%
38%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 mar. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 0
MAC
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |