Análisis Macará vs CD El Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.5%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 2009 |
LDU
1 - 1
MAC
33%
29%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
BSC
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
TEC
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 sep. 2009 |
LDU
1 - 1
MAC
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 ago. 2009 |
CUE
0 - 0
MAC
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 1
CUE
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 2
NAC
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 1
LDU
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2009 |
LDU
1 - 0
NAC
30%
30%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 ago. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
BSC
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |