Análisis Macará vs Delfín
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
28.8%
Empate
0-0
12%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
24.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
10%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAC
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
GUA
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 2015 |
DEL
1 - 0
MAC
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
ESP
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2015 |
IMB
1 - 3
MAC
40%
29%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Delfín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2015 |
DEL
2 - 0
OLM
48%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2015 |
OLM
4 - 2
DEL
48%
29%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2015 |
DEL
1 - 0
MAC
53%
27%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2015 |
FAM
0 - 0
DEL
45%
29%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2015 |
DEL
3 - 0
DPT
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |