Análisis Macará vs Espoli
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 0
MAC
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 0
EME
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 oct. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 1
MAC
46%
29%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 0
LDU
49%
28%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2002 |
AUC
0 - 1
MAC
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 1
BSC
28%
29%
43%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2004 |
LDU
3 - 0
ESP
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 2003 |
ESP
0 - 3
NAC
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 oct. 2003 |
TEC
1 - 2
ESP
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2003 |
QUI
2 - 2
ESP
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |