Análisis Macará vs Liga de Quito
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.8%
Empate
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
46.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2004 |
BSC
0 - 0
MAC
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2004 |
QUI
1 - 1
MAC
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 1
CUE
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
CUE
2 - 2
MAC
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 0
QUI
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2004 |
LDU
0 - 1
CUE
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 1
LDU
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
LDU
2 - 0
EME
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2004 |
LDU
5 - 1
COB
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
EME
2 - 0
LDU
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |