Análisis Macará vs Liga de Quito
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
32.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.3%
Empate
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+28%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2009 |
EME
1 - 0
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
LDU
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 2009 |
LDU
1 - 1
MAC
38%
29%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
EME
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
LDU
1 - 0
MAC
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 2009 |
LDU
3 - 0
BSC
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2009 |
LDU
2 - 3
SPO
46%
24%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2009 |
EME
1 - 1
LDU
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2009 |
PAL
2 - 0
LDU
58%
23%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 2009 |
LDU
2 - 0
EME
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |