Análisis Cuarto Distrito vs Águilas FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
17.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 may. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 3
CUA
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 may. 2011 |
ZAR
4 - 0
CUA
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 may. 2011 |
CUA
5 - 1
LOR
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 may. 2011 |
CUA
3 - 3
EGP
36%
25%
40%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
CUA
18%
21%
60%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -2 |
Partidos
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 may. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 0
MUL
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2011 |
CEU
0 - 2
AGU
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 may. 2011 |
THA
2 - 2
AGU
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 may. 2011 |
AGU
4 - 0
UDL
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 1
AGU
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |