Análisis Cuarto Distrito vs Bala Azul
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.25
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 2009 |
PIN
4 - 0
CUA
70%
18%
13%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
CAR
5 - 0
CUA
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2009 |
CUA
0 - 1
LOR
15%
23%
63%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | -1 |
| 20 sep. 2009 |
CCS
4 - 0
CUA
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2009 |
CUA
0 - 1
CPE
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 0
CAR
25%
24%
52%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 1
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 65 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 3
CCS
21%
23%
57%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -2 |
| 20 sep. 2009 |
CPE
3 - 0
BAL
59%
21%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2009 |
BAL
3 - 1
CAL
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |