Análisis Cuarto Distrito vs Lumbreras
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.47
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.5%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 dic. 2009 |
MAZ
4 - 1
CUA
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2009 |
CUA
2 - 1
JUM
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 nov. 2009 |
PUL
3 - 1
CUA
57%
22%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2009 |
CUA
0 - 3
CDB
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 nov. 2009 |
PLU
2 - 2
CUA
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Lumbreras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 dic. 2009 |
LUM
1 - 3
CAR
16%
21%
63%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2009 |
LOR
4 - 0
LUM
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 56 | 45 | -1 |
| 28 nov. 2009 |
LUM
0 - 3
CCS
16%
21%
64%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2009 |
CPE
14 - 1
LUM
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 nov. 2009 |
LUM
2 - 7
CAL
27%
25%
48%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |