Análisis Cuarto Distrito vs AD Lorqui
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.15
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 2011 |
CUA
3 - 3
EGP
36%
25%
40%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
CUA
18%
21%
60%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
CUA
3 - 3
MIN
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 abr. 2011 |
YEC
0 - 2
CUA
51%
24%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 abr. 2011 |
CUA
1 - 3
BUL
41%
25%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
AD Lorqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 5
MUL
30%
23%
47%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2011 |
CEU
3 - 0
LOR
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 abr. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 1
AGU
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 4
LOR
67%
19%
15%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 abr. 2011 |
THA
4 - 1
LOR
63%
20%
17%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |