Análisis Cuarto Distrito vs El Palmar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
CUA
18%
21%
60%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
CUA
3 - 3
MIN
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 abr. 2011 |
YEC
0 - 2
CUA
51%
24%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 abr. 2011 |
CUA
1 - 3
BUL
41%
25%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 mar. 2011 |
LUM
1 - 1
CUA
39%
24%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
El Palmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 2011 |
EGP
1 - 1
MUL
44%
24%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
CEU
2 - 0
EGP
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 abr. 2011 |
EGP
2 - 1
AGU
16%
22%
62%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +3 |
| 03 abr. 2011 |
UDL
2 - 1
EGP
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 mar. 2011 |
EGP
1 - 6
LOR
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |