Análisis Danubio vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 nov. 2006 |
LFC
3 - 3
DAN
36%
26%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2006 |
DAN
2 - 1
JUN
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 2
DAN
32%
25%
44%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 oct. 2006 |
DAN
3 - 0
MWA
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2006 |
REN
0 - 2
DAN
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 nov. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 1
TAC
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 4
DEF
47%
27%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 3
CEN
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2006 |
PRO
0 - 4
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2006 |
DEF
3 - 1
CSC
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |