Apertura Uruguay Jor. 12

Análisis Danubio vs Defensor Sporting

Danubio Defensor Sporting
72 ELO 75
9.6% Tilt -6.9%
499º Ranking ELO general 484º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
41.2%
Danubio
25.5%
Empate
33.3%
Defensor Sporting

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Danubio
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Defensor Sporting
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Danubio
-9%
+3%
Defensor Sporting

Progresión del ELO

Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Danubio
Danubio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 nov. 2014
TAC
Tacuarembó FC
0 - 0
Danubio
DAN
42%
27%
31%
73 69 4 0
19 oct. 2014
DAN
Danubio
0 - 0
Juventud
JUV
61%
22%
17%
71 66 5 +2
11 oct. 2014
CER
Cerro CA
2 - 0
Danubio
DAN
34%
27%
39%
71 62 9 0
04 oct. 2014
DAN
Danubio
1 - 1
Peñarol
PEÑ
27%
25%
48%
71 83 12 0
28 sep. 2014
FEN
Fénix
0 - 0
Danubio
DAN
51%
25%
24%
71 70 1 0

Partidos

Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 nov. 2014
DEF
Defensor Sporting
0 - 2
River Plate Montevideo
RIV
43%
26%
32%
77 77 0 0
19 oct. 2014
ETS
El Tanque Sisley
2 - 1
Defensor Sporting
DEF
27%
26%
47%
78 67 11 -1
12 oct. 2014
DEF
Defensor Sporting
1 - 1
Sud América
SUD
66%
21%
13%
78 66 12 0
05 oct. 2014
RAC
Racing Montevideo
1 - 6
Defensor Sporting
DEF
32%
26%
42%
78 71 7 0
28 sep. 2014
TAC
Tacuarembó FC
1 - 4
Defensor Sporting
DEF
30%
27%
44%
77 69 8 +1