Apertura Uruguay Jor. 4

Análisis Danubio vs Defensor Sporting

Danubio Defensor Sporting
72 ELO 78
7.2% Tilt -10.3%
481º Ranking ELO general 473º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
36.9%
Danubio
25.8%
Empate
37.3%
Defensor Sporting

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
36.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
Danubio
1.35
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Defensor Sporting
1.35
Goles esperados
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Danubio
-11%
+4%
Defensor Sporting

Progresión del ELO

Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Danubio
Danubio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 ago. 2015
ETS
El Tanque Sisley
1 - 0
Danubio
DAN
39%
28%
34%
73 67 6 0
23 ago. 2015
DAN
Danubio
3 - 1
Cerro CA
CER
58%
23%
19%
73 68 5 0
20 ago. 2015
DAN
Danubio
1 - 2
U. Católica
UCO
39%
24%
36%
74 77 3 -1
16 ago. 2015
JUV
Juventud
0 - 2
Danubio
DAN
55%
24%
21%
73 73 0 +1
12 ago. 2015
UCO
U. Católica
1 - 0
Danubio
DAN
66%
19%
15%
73 78 5 0

Partidos

Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 sep. 2015
DEF
Defensor Sporting
1 - 2
Sud América
SUD
60%
24%
17%
78 70 8 0
30 ago. 2015
DEF
Defensor Sporting
3 - 1
Peñarol
PEÑ
36%
27%
37%
77 80 3 +1
26 ago. 2015
DEF
Defensor Sporting
3 - 0
Universitario Deportes
UNI
60%
24%
17%
77 68 9 0
22 ago. 2015
RAC
Racing Montevideo
0 - 2
Defensor Sporting
DEF
36%
26%
38%
76 70 6 +1
18 ago. 2015
BOL
Bolívar
2 - 0
Defensor Sporting
DEF
40%
23%
37%
77 69 8 -1