Análisis Danubio vs Progreso
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.06
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.7%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 mar. 2007 |
CEN
0 - 1
DAN
29%
26%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2007 |
DAN
3 - 0
NAC
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2007 |
DAN
1 - 1
TAC
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2007 |
DAN
1 - 2
VEL
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2007 |
VEL
3 - 0
DAN
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 mar. 2007 |
CSM
2 - 2
PRO
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2007 |
PRO
2 - 2
BVS
34%
28%
39%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2007 |
PRO
1 - 1
CSC
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 2
PRO
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 3
MWA
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |