Análisis Decic vs Mogren
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2006 |
GRB
0 - 0
DEC
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2006 |
DEC
1 - 1
KOM
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2006 |
SUT
1 - 1
DEC
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2006 |
DEC
4 - 2
BOK
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 2006 |
PET
0 - 0
DEC
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2006 |
FKZ
0 - 0
MOG
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2006 |
MOG
0 - 1
GRB
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2006 |
KOM
0 - 0
MOG
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2006 |
MOG
0 - 2
SUT
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 2006 |
BOK
1 - 1
MOG
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |