Análisis Decic vs Mogren
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2006 |
RUD
3 - 0
DEC
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2006 |
DEC
2 - 2
BER
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 2006 |
JED
1 - 0
DEC
69%
20%
12%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2006 |
DEC
0 - 0
PET
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 sep. 2006 |
DEC
0 - 4
ZET
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2006 |
BER
2 - 0
MOG
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2006 |
MOG
1 - 2
PET
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 2006 |
ZET
4 - 0
MOG
69%
19%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2006 |
MOG
1 - 1
GRB
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 sep. 2006 |
BUD
1 - 0
MOG
63%
24%
14%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |