Análisis Decic vs Mogren
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
39.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.6%
28.9%
Empate
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
31.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 jun. 2007 |
DEC
1 - 0
IBA
59%
22%
18%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 2007 |
IBA
2 - 2
DEC
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 may. 2007 |
DEC
0 - 1
BUD
33%
28%
38%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 may. 2007 |
JED
3 - 0
DEC
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 may. 2007 |
BER
1 - 2
DEC
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 may. 2007 |
MOG
2 - 0
PET
49%
28%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 may. 2007 |
GRB
0 - 1
MOG
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 may. 2007 |
MOG
1 - 2
RUD
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2007 |
ZET
1 - 0
MOG
62%
22%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 may. 2007 |
MOG
0 - 0
BUD
34%
28%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |