Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Almagro
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
32.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.8%
28.8%
Empate
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
39%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 2012 |
SUA
1 - 0
DEF
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 1
CHI
24%
28%
48%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 2012 |
COL
2 - 1
DEF
61%
24%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
COM
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
DEF
45%
29%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 1
TEM
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2012 |
SUA
2 - 1
ALM
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
CHI
32%
28%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 1
STM
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
COL
1 - 4
ALM
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |