Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Almagro
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
24.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.7%
Empate
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
48.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.37
Goles esperados
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 2013 |
DAL
2 - 1
DEF
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 3
DEF
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2013 |
DEF
3 - 0
PLA
24%
30%
46%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 ago. 2013 |
ACA
2 - 2
DEF
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
AND
38%
30%
32%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
MOR
64%
23%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
EST
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 0
COL
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 2
ALM
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 ago. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 2
ATL
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |