Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Atletico Rafaela
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
39.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.41
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 2004 |
TAL
0 - 3
DEF
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2004 |
DEF
1 - 1
POR
60%
22%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 sep. 2004 |
HUR
2 - 1
DEF
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2004 |
DEF
0 - 2
SMA
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 ago. 2004 |
CAU
3 - 0
DEF
40%
25%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
Partidos
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 2004 |
RAF
0 - 3
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2004 |
JAN
2 - 1
RAF
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2004 |
RAF
4 - 0
SAR
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2004 |
RAF
2 - 1
TAL
33%
26%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 ago. 2004 |
POR
3 - 0
RAF
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -2 |