Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Brown Adrogué
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.8%
Empate
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 2008 |
ALB
3 - 3
DEF
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 1
ITA
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 mar. 2008 |
TAL
0 - 1
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 mar. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2008 |
SAR
2 - 3
DEF
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 2008 |
BRO
3 - 1
MER
62%
21%
18%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2008 |
ARM
1 - 0
BRO
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2008 |
BRO
2 - 0
STM
70%
17%
12%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2008 |
ALB
3 - 0
BRO
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 mar. 2008 |
BRO
3 - 0
ITA
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |