Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Brown Adrogué
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.26
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.1%
Empate
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 sep. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
DEF
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 0
ARM
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2011 |
LAM
0 - 1
DEF
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 sep. 2011 |
DEF
3 - 0
VSC
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 1
DEF
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 2011 |
BRO
3 - 1
TEM
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 0
BRO
29%
28%
44%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 sep. 2011 |
BRO
3 - 2
SUA
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
BRO
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2011 |
BRO
3 - 1
COL
61%
22%
16%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |