Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Chacarita Juniors
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.41
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.22
Goles esperados
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 2004 |
JAN
0 - 0
DEF
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2004 |
DEF
3 - 0
RAF
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 sep. 2004 |
TAL
0 - 3
DEF
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +2 |
| 11 sep. 2004 |
DEF
1 - 1
POR
60%
22%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 sep. 2004 |
HUR
2 - 1
DEF
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 2004 |
CHA
2 - 3
SAR
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 1
JAN
70%
20%
11%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2004 |
RAF
0 - 3
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 sep. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 4
TAL
32%
27%
40%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 sep. 2004 |
POR
2 - 2
CHA
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |