Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Defensa y Justicia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.41
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.5%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.52
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2004 |
CAU
2 - 2
DEF
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2004 |
FER
2 - 1
DEF
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 2004 |
DEF
2 - 1
JAN
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 mar. 2004 |
CAI
2 - 0
DEF
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 feb. 2004 |
DEF
0 - 1
POR
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
Partidos
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 2004 |
DYJ
1 - 1
FER
40%
28%
32%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2004 |
JAN
1 - 1
DYJ
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2004 |
DYJ
1 - 3
CAI
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 feb. 2004 |
POR
4 - 0
DYJ
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 feb. 2004 |
DYJ
0 - 2
INS
36%
26%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |