Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Defensa y Justicia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.1
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.3%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 2004 |
SMA
1 - 2
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2004 |
DEF
2 - 0
SAR
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 oct. 2004 |
DEF
1 - 2
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 oct. 2004 |
JAN
0 - 0
DEF
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2004 |
DEF
3 - 0
RAF
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 oct. 2004 |
DYJ
1 - 1
CHA
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2004 |
JAN
0 - 1
DYJ
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2004 |
DYJ
1 - 3
RAF
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2004 |
TAL
2 - 0
DYJ
73%
18%
10%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 2004 |
DYJ
1 - 3
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |