Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Deportivo Merlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.37
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 jun. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 3
DEF
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 jun. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 1
SAR
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 jun. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 1
DEF
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 may. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
DEF
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 may. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
STM
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 jun. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 2
MER
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2009 |
MER
0 - 0
MOR
42%
29%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 2009 |
MER
1 - 0
COL
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 may. 2009 |
CCO
1 - 2
MER
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2009 |
MER
0 - 1
ATL
49%
28%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |