Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Deportivo Merlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 2
DEF
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 2
COL
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
DEF
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 1
ALM
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 mar. 2009 |
DEF
3 - 2
ARM
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 2009 |
MER
0 - 0
SUA
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 2
MER
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2009 |
MER
0 - 0
TEM
45%
29%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 2
MER
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 2009 |
ARM
2 - 2
MER
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |