Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Deportivo Morón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.33
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.6%
Empate
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 2005 |
TAL
2 - 1
DEF
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
TEM
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 2005 |
COM
2 - 2
DEF
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 0
ITA
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 nov. 2005 |
PLA
0 - 1
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 2005 |
MOR
0 - 1
FLA
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2005 |
ALB
0 - 2
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 nov. 2005 |
MOR
0 - 0
SUA
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 nov. 2005 |
LAF
1 - 0
MOR
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 nov. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 0
CCO
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |