Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Deportivo Morón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
36.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.25
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.2%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2008 |
ACA
3 - 1
DEF
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2008 |
DEF
3 - 1
ESP
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 feb. 2008 |
SUA
1 - 1
DEF
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 0
ATL
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2008 |
FLA
0 - 0
DEF
30%
29%
42%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 feb. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 0
MER
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2008 |
ARM
1 - 1
MOR
37%
28%
36%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 0
STM
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 feb. 2008 |
BRO
4 - 4
MOR
38%
26%
37%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 2008 |
MOR
0 - 3
ALB
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |